Ether sentiment hits yearly low but that could be a good thing: Santiment
Social sentiment surrounding Ether has recently plummeted, revealing a pronounced bearish trend as prices struggle to keep pace with other cryptocurrencies. According to analysis from Santiment, a blockchain data platform, discussions among traders on platforms like X, Reddit, and Telegram indicate a stark pessimism around Ether compared to its peers. In a post dated March 5, Santiment noted, “For those patiently holding their Ether, the bearishness being projected across social media is a good sign of a potential turnaround once crypto markets stabilize.”
Currently, Ether’s price has dropped over 20% in the past month, with the cryptocurrency trading around $2,176. This underperformance contrasts sharply with Bitcoin, which saw a more modest decrease of 10%, remaining around $88,000. Despite the current sentiment, experts like Mike Cahill, CEO of Douro Labs and contributor to the Pyth Network, urge investors to distinguish between short-term narratives and long-term fundamentals. Cahill explained, “Historically, extreme bearish sentiment has often coincided with market bottoms, as price movements tend to lead social sentiment — not the other way around.”
The shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish is significant, especially considering that from March to September of the previous year, traders exhibited optimism towards Ether amidst an overall crypto bull market. However, since September, bearish attitudes have dominated, continuing into 2023.
Analyst Dominick John from Kronos Research shared that while Ether’s performance may deter short-term investors, the prevailing negativity could signal a bottoming phase. Factors such as decreasing interest rates or regulatory clarity regarding ETH staking within ETFs could provide catalysts for recovery. He emphasized, “While the continued buying by institutional players, including Trump’s World Liberty Financial, signals growing long-term confidence.”
Indeed, World Liberty Financial, a DeFi platform backed by the Trump family, has notably increased its Ether holdings by $10 million in just a week. This indicates that significant players may be taking advantageous positions amid the downturn.
Santiment’s analysis involves monitoring crypto-specific social media platforms to identify trending topics and sentiment. This tracking has shown that recent discussions surrounding Ether include significant terms that highlight the prevailing market feelings. While analysts speculate that Ether is currently grappling with issues like diminishing network activity and declining total value locked (TVL), there are signs of potential recovery.
Ether’s MVRV Z-Score, a critical measure used to identify whether a cryptocurrency is undervalued or overvalued, has recently fallen to its lowest in 17 months. Historical patterns suggest that comparable dips in the MVRV Z-Score, recorded in October 2023, preceded substantial price rebounds, highlighting the cyclical nature of crypto markets.
In summary, while the current social sentiment around Ether is notably bearish, historical precedents suggest that such sentiment could be a precursor to a market upturn. Investors and analysts alike are keeping a close watch for signs of stabilization and possible renewed interest in Ether, particularly as institutional buying remains strong.